I paid a visit to the Red Rock to confirm this game. The screen above shows the jackpot as of about 1PM on Oct 17. The same jackpot is available on six different base games. The following table shows those games with the return for all royals paying 800x the bet amount.
I noticed this variation of Bet the Set on April 19, 2013 at the Red Rock casino in Las Vegas. It was dealt from a six-deck game. The bet wins if the player has a pair for his initial two cards, more if they are suited. Unlike the normal Bet the Set, if the player has a pair he has a chance for big wins if the dealer also has a pair of the same rank.
If the player gets a colored four of a kind not only is he paid 250 to 1, but also wins a progressive jackpot. In addition, there are envy bonuses if another player gets a colored four of a kind. The minimum bet to qualify for the jackpot and envy bonuses is $1.
Rack card. Click on either image for a larger version.
The following table shows the odds for a six-deck game, before considering the jackpot and envy bonuses. The lower right cell shows a house edge of 27.74%.
Event | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
---|---|---|---|---|
Colored four of a kind | 250 | 77,220 | 0.000033 | 0.008308 |
Four of a kind | 100 | 751,608 | 0.000323 | 0.032346 |
Suited pair | 20 | 37,177,920 | 0.016000 | 0.319993 |
Pair | 5 | 133,840,512 | 0.057599 | 0.287993 |
Loser | -1 | 2,151,826,560 | 0.926045 | -0.926045 |
Total | 2,323,673,820 | 1.000000 | -0.277405 |
The following table shows the expected value per each $1,000 in the meter and each additional player by the bet amount. Remember that the progressive and envy bonuses are flat awards, thus the benefit is inversely proportional to bet size.
Wager | Value per $1000 in Meter | Value per Additional Player |
---|---|---|
$1 | 3.323% | 0.166% |
$5 | 0.665% | 0.033% |
$10 | 0.332% | 0.017% |
$25 | 0.133% | 0.007% |
The following table shows the expected value per each $1,000 in the meter and each additional player by the bet amount. Remember that the progressive and envy bonuses are flat awards, thus the benefit is inversely proportional to bet size.
Wager | Breakeven Point |
---|---|
$1 | $8,347.58 |
$5 | $41,737.88 |
$10 | $83,475.76 |
$25 | $208,689.39 |
When I saw this bet on April 20, 2013 the meter was at $7,817.44.